Mercurial, the on-chain intelligence terminal

TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP
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24H VOLUME
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across tracked markets
BTC DOMINANCE
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ETH: --
DEFI TVL
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across tracked protocols
STABLECOIN SUPPLY
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USD pegged, all chains
DATA AS OF --:--:--
refreshes on load

Market Regime

A real-time, rules-based read on the current market environment, computed from live market-cap, dominance, and volume data on every load.
LIVE DATA

Current regime

CLASSIFICATION
Computing...
24H MARKET CAP CHANGE
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BTC DOMINANCE TREND
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Evidence
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Method
Threshold classifier on 24h global market-cap change and BTC dominance direction. This is a simplified heuristic, not a substitute for the full multi-factor regime model (funding rates, liquidations, options skew) described in the source specification, which requires derivatives and liquidation-level data this build does not have live access to.

Confidence engine

Confidence in the observation (that market cap moved X% in 24h)
High -- directly from provider data
Confidence in any forward-looking interpretation
Not asserted -- see disclaimer below

Token Intelligence

Live price, market cap, FDV proxy, and volume for the largest tracked tokens.
LIVE DATA
#TokenPrice24h7d Market Cap24h VolumeFrom ATH
Loading live market data...

DeFi Intelligence

Total value locked, category concentration, and 7-day TVL momentum across tracked protocols.
LIVE DATA
TRACKED PROTOCOLS
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TOP CHAIN BY TVL
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TOP CATEGORY BY TVL
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Top protocols by TVL

#ProtocolCategoryTVL1d7d
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Stablecoin supply by asset

Ranked by total circulating supply across all chains. A true per-chain split would require one additional live call per chain and is left as a documented extension in INTEGRATION.md rather than shipped partially implemented.
#AssetCirculating USDShare of tracked total
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Capital Flows & Sector Rotation

A live proxy for sector rotation, built from 7-day TVL deltas by DeFi category. This approximates capital movement between sectors; it does not trace individual wallet transfers, which requires the wallet-level providers described in Data & Methodology.
LIVE DATA (sector proxy)

Category TVL momentum (7d)

#CategoryTVL7d changeRead
Computing from live protocol data...

Chain TVL share

#ChainTVLShare of tracked total
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Runners & Laggards

Ranked by a composite of 7-day price performance and volume relative to market cap, among the top 80 tokens by market cap. This is a market-structure proxy, not the full whale- and smart-money-weighted conviction score described in the source specification.
LIVE DATA

Top runners

#Token7dVol/MCap
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Top laggards

#Token7dVol/MCap
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Early accumulation candidates (fundamentals-vs-price divergence)

Protocols where 7-day TVL growth is meaningfully outpacing the token's 7-day price move. This is a real, live-computed divergence signal across a curated set of major protocols; it is a fundamentals proxy only and is not whale-accumulation evidence. Not all tokens can be matched between the price and TVL data sources, so coverage is partial by design.
#Protocol / TokenTVL 7dPrice 7dDivergence
Computing...

Anomalies & Alert Feed

Alerts generated live from statistically notable 24h moves in price, volume, or TVL. Wallet-level alerts (whale sells, exchange inflow spikes) require a wallet-intelligence provider and are shown separately in sample mode below.
LIVE, COMPUTED FROM MARKET + DEFI DATA
Computing...
SAMPLE DATA. The alerts below illustrate the wallet-level alert format from the specification (whale sells, exchange inflows, dormant-wallet reactivation). They are not derived from real blockchain activity. See Data & Methodology to connect a real wallet-intelligence provider.

Whale Intelligence

What fund-labeled wallets are accumulating and distributing, aggregated by token: net flows over 24h and 7d and how many such wallets traded it. Live data comes from Nansen through the Mercurial proxy; the API key is held server-side.
SAMPLE DATA -- NOT LIVE
Full Access and above. Signed-in, entitled accounts request live wallet data from the Mercurial proxy; free accounts see this sample preview.
Every wallet, address, and score on this page is a fabricated illustration of the UI and scoring framework. No real blockchain address is being tracked or referenced. See how to connect live data.

Sample: Fund-labeled wallet net flows by token

Wallet groupAssetSignal24h net flow7d net flowTraders (30d)

Sample: exchange flow read

Smart Money

Which tokens the top-performing wallets (funds and consistently profitable traders) are net buying or selling, over 24h, 7d, and 30d. Live data comes from Nansen through the Mercurial proxy.
SAMPLE DATA -- NOT LIVE
Full Access and above. Signed-in, entitled accounts request live smart-money data from the Mercurial proxy; free accounts see this sample preview.
Illustrative only. Scores below are fabricated for UI demonstration and do not describe any real wallet.

Sample: Smart money net flows by token

NFT Intelligence

Floor, 24h volume, floor change, and holder counts for major collections. Live data comes from CoinGecko public NFT data through the Mercurial proxy.
SAMPLE DATA -- NOT LIVE
Full Access and above. Signed-in, entitled accounts request live NFT market data from the Mercurial proxy; free accounts see this sample preview.
Illustrative only. No real collection, floor price, or wallet is represented below.
CollectionFloor24h volumeFloor 24hHolders

Tokenomics & Unlock Risk

Upcoming supply unlocks in the next 30 days and their size relative to float. Live data comes from DeFiLlama Pro emissions through the Mercurial proxy.
SAMPLE DATA -- NOT LIVE
Full Access and above. Signed-in, entitled accounts request live unlock schedules from the Mercurial proxy; free accounts see this sample preview.
Illustrative only. Unlock dates and sizes below are fabricated for UI demonstration.
TokenEventEst. size% of floatRead

Rankings

Live rankings are computed from market and DeFi data on every load. Wallet-dependent rankings are sample data until a wallet-intelligence provider is connected.

Top 10 movers, 7d LIVE

#Token7d

Top 10 DeFi TVL gainers, 7d LIVE

#Protocol7d TVL change

Top whale net inflows SAMPLE

#Wallet groupAsset24h net flow

Top smart-money net inflows SAMPLE

#Wallet groupAsset24h net flow

Strategy Lab

Test a transparent, rules-based rotation strategy against real historical prices before risking a dollar. This is a simulation on past data: it does not hold, move, or trade funds, and it does not predict anything. Every rule it applies is written on this page.
SIMULATION ON REAL HISTORICAL DATA -- NO FUNDS ARE TRADED
Full Access and above. Sign in with an entitled account to run simulations. The rules and caveats below are visible to everyone.

The rules (all of them)

Universe
The top N tokens by market cap from Token Intelligence, excluding stablecoins.
Signal
Trailing 7-day price return, recomputed at each rebalance.
Position
Equal weight across the top K tokens by that signal; everything else at zero. Cash is held until the first rebalance.
Costs
A flat cost in basis points on every dollar of turnover, charged at each rebalance. Real costs (spread, slippage, gas, exchange fees) vary and can be higher.
Benchmarks
Equal-weight buy-and-hold of the same universe, and a Bitcoin hold, over the same window.

Parameters

Read before acting on any of this. A simulation on past prices tells you how a rule would have behaved, not how it will behave. Short windows overfit: a rule that won over 90 days can lose over the next 90. Costs here are a flat approximation; live execution adds spread, slippage, gas, and failed transactions. Nothing on this page is a recommendation, and Mercurial does not execute trades. If you ever automate a rule with real money, it should run under your own keys, on your own infrastructure, after paper-trading it forward in time, with a loss limit you decided in advance.

My Wallet

Review the last 30 days of activity for an address you enter here: what was sent, what was received, and the USD volume of each transaction, from Nansen's labeled transaction data through the Mercurial proxy. The address is sent with your request and used for that request only; it is never stored in this page, in the proxy, or anywhere else.
ENTER AN ADDRESS TO LOAD ACTIVITY
Full Access and above. Sign in with an entitled account to load wallet activity.
Time (UTC)MethodSentReceivedVolumeSource
No activity loaded yet.
What this is not. Mercurial reads this address; it cannot sign for it, move anything from it, or trade on its behalf. There is no custody in this product and no automated trading of anyone's funds, by design and by its Terms. The CSV export is a transaction record in a format tax tools import; it is not a tax return, not tax advice, and it does not compute gains.

On-Chain Intelligence Executive Brief

Generated live from the data above at the moment this page loaded.

The bottom line

Next 24 hours / 7 days / 30 days -- what to monitor

NEXT 24H
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NEXT 7D
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NEXT 30D
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On recommendations: this brief flags what the live data shows as notable. It deliberately does not issue Accumulate/Reduce/Avoid calls with conviction scores on real assets, because that register of claim requires the whale- and smart-money-level evidence this build does not have live access to. The Whale Intelligence and Smart Money pages show, in sample mode, what that fuller format looks like once a paid provider is connected.

Pricing

The free tier is the live market and DeFi terminal above. Paid tiers unlock wallet-level intelligence as each data provider is connected; a section is only sold as live once it is listed as live on the Data & Methodology page.

What every tier gets, with no account

Live market regime, token, DeFi, capital-flow, runner/laggard, and anomaly intelligence
Included
Executive brief, refreshed on every load
Included
Sample previews of every wallet-level section
Included

Billing

Subscriptions are billed monthly through Stripe. New accounts can start with a free trial (once per account); if you do not cancel before the trial ends, the first monthly charge follows. Cancel any time from Manage subscription or the Stripe customer portal linked in your receipt; access continues to the end of the paid period. The final price, taxes, currency, and trial terms are shown on the Stripe checkout page before you confirm.

Mercurial

A self-hosted strategy runner you operate on your own machine, for your own wallet, with your own keys and your own parameters. Sold as software, by subscription. It is not a managed account, not a signal service, and it takes no share of anything you make or lose.
MERCURIAL
SELF-HOSTED STRATEGY RUNNER

What you get

  • The Mercurial package: paper mode by default, a gated ladder to live, position and exposure caps, a daily loss halt, a drawdown halt, a manual kill file, and data-integrity checks.
  • Three presets, a one-command quickstart, an operating manual, and a compliance-and-tax guide.
  • Lot-matched realized gains and tax-tool CSV exports from its own records.
  • A validate command with honest gate reporting and a locked non-retrograde floor.
  • Full Access to this terminal, including the Strategy Lab and My Wallet, for the life of the subscription.
  • Updates for as long as you subscribe. Your friend needs his own subscription for his own copy; nothing is shared between copies.

What it is not

  • Not a managed account. We never hold, see, or move your funds, and we cannot.
  • Not a performance-fee product. The price is the price; no percentage of profits, ever. A performance fee would make this an advisory relationship, which it is not.
  • Not a promise. The runner can lose every dollar in the wallet it controls; its whole design is to make that loss small, visible, and stoppable.
  • Not verified on chain by us. Live-dry mode and the smallest-size first live trade are how you verify it, on the ladder in its README.

Subscribe

PRICE
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INCLUDES
Full Access + Mercurial
YOUR STATUS
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Before you subscribe. Read the Mercurial license terms in the Terms of Service. You are the operator: your keys, your parameters, your trades, your taxes, your jurisdiction's rules. The terms are drafts pending legal review until the effective date is shown.

Terms of Service

Effective date: pending

Privacy Policy

Effective date: pending

Risk Disclosure

Read this before relying on anything in Mercurial.

Data & Methodology

What is live, what is sample, and how to make the rest live.

Live data sources (no key required)

Token prices, market caps, volume
CoinGecko public API
DeFi protocol TVL, categories, chains
DeFiLlama api.llama.fi
Stablecoin circulating supply
DeFiLlama stablecoins.llama.fi

Sample-only sections and what would make them live

SectionRequiresTypical access model
Whale IntelligenceFund-labeled wallet net flows by tokenNansen API key (server-side); implemented, awaiting key
Smart MoneySmart-money net flows by tokenNansen API key (server-side); implemented, awaiting key
NFT IntelligenceCollection floor, volume, holdersCoinGecko public NFT data via the proxy; implemented, awaiting proxy deployment
Tokenomics & UnlocksUpcoming unlock eventsDeFiLlama Pro emissions key (server-side); implemented, awaiting key
Full integration steps, required environment variables, and a Firebase Cloud Function proxy template are in INTEGRATION.md and cloud-functions/ in this package. Paid keys should never be placed in this file, since it is intended to be public on IPFS -- anything embedded here is visible to anyone who views source.

Part of JUNCTION

Mercurial is one door in the JUNCTION ecosystem: independently useful, requiring none of the others. The optional connection it shares is identity: accounts live on the same Firebase project as the other AssetShop doors, so a founder or subscriber can be recognized across them without Mercurial depending on any of them to function.

This is not investment advice

Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Figures are sourced from third-party public APIs and may be delayed, incomplete, or wrong. Verify independently before making any financial decision.

Not financial, legal, or investment advice. Mercurial surfaces public market and protocol data and clearly-labeled illustrative samples. It does not execute trades, hold funds, or custody assets.

Data delays, provider outages, and classification errors are possible. Live sections refresh on page load; if a provider is unreachable or rate-limited, the affected section will say so rather than showing stale data as current.